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The sucess rate is simple to understand.
It is for that attempt and that attempt only
SO if its a 90% success rate. Then something like this happens. A number between 1 and 100 is generated. If it is 90 or lower you succeed. If is 91-100 you fail.
If you fail, the next attempt is calculated the same way. Nothing is changed because you failed before for the exact same thing at the exact same rate. Nothing is changed because of other successes and fails in other things.
Now because of this method you could fail at 90% forever. Statistically that would not happen. Statistically you should succeed within 11 attempts at a 90% rate. But even a statistician would tell you it could take much more then 11 tries.
The success and fails are not cumulative or linked to each other in any way.
This is about the only explanation to the results most of us have seen in game.
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