Quote Originally Posted by mattp169 View Post
See heres the thing with tavern.
you say its misleading because you say there should be a equal chance of drawing any of the 5 cards shown. You cant prove one way or the other if that is true. We all speculate that it is not, but cant prove it.

Take a bag. Put 4 black rocks in it and 1 red one. You have a 20% chance to get the red right.

take a rock out. its black. but the rock back in and try again. you get a black again. do it again and again and again. you could easily do 20 pulls of all black or 20 pulls of all red. You are unlikely going to do 20 straight pulls of all red, but 20 straight pulls of all all black is likely.

So youd have to prove that the software is designed to not give a equal chance of drawing one of the 5 cards shown and the only way you could do that is to see the code. Because theorectical probability and statistical probability will rarely ever match up you cant used the observed data to prove it.

The observation that its no where near an equal chance and there for its misleading and therefore rigged is akin to saying watching some one flipping a coin 100 times and seeing it come up heads 75 times and claiming the coin is rigged.
The problem with your argument is that these things have been used thousands of times - probably more like 100s of thousands. Given the amount of times the cards have been shuffled and turned, if th eodds were actually 1 in 5, it would be somewhere close to that given the number of times it's been done. And, from being on 2 different servers, I can tell you it isn't anywhere near 1 in 5.

That said, I totally understand the cards are only a representation of what's there - that they don't actually represent the odds. But, some wouldn't know that - at least not at first. That's what some are upset about. But, every game I've played of this sort does the same thing, so I don't see a real problem, but can understand those that do.